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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 5, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin

Desna
3 - 3
Mariupol

Arveladze (51'), Yurchenko (57'), Voloshyn (80')
Kalitvintsev (45'), Dombrovskyi (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kashchuk (29', 48' pen., 90+1')
Myshnyov (16'), Chekh (37')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Mariupol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Desna ChernihivDrawMariupol
50.26%25.64%24.1%
Both teams to score 49.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06%53.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61%75.38%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51%21.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47%54.53%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.45%37.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67%74.32%
Score Analysis
    Desna Chernihiv 50.26%
    Mariupol 24.1%
    Draw 25.64%
Desna ChernihivDrawMariupol
1-0 @ 12.4%
2-0 @ 9.54%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 50.26%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.9%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.49%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 24.1%

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