Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%).
