SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Polissya Zhytomyr in this match.
| Result | ||
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
36.55% ( -0.01) | 27.33% ( 0.09) | 36.12% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.87% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.32% ( -0.34) | 55.68% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% ( -0.28) | 76.83% ( 0.28) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% ( -0.17) | 29.25% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( -0.22) | 65.2% ( 0.22) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( -0.21) | 29.52% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% ( -0.26) | 65.53% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.11% |
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