Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 67.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 13.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (4.08%).