Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
