Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Villa Espanola win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.