SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
36.25% ( 0.03) | 27.43% ( 0.01) | 36.31% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.55% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.92% ( -0.05) | 56.07% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.85% ( -0.04) | 77.15% ( 0.04) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( -0.01) | 29.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.33% ( -0.01) | 65.66% ( 0.01) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( -0.05) | 29.59% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( -0.07) | 65.62% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| La Luz | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.25% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.31% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
