Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
10 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | -2 | 20 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 6 | 27 |
4 | Boston River | 15 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Penarol | 15 | 4 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Boston River |
42.23% ( 0.59) | 27.67% ( -0.24) | 30.1% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 47.49% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.95% ( 0.74) | 58.04% ( -0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.27% ( 0.58) | 78.72% ( -0.58) |
Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.85% ( 0.67) | 27.14% ( -0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.46% ( 0.87) | 62.54% ( -0.86) |
Boston River Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.18% ( 0.13) | 34.82% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.45% ( 0.14) | 71.55% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Boston River |
1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.23% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 30.1% |
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