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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2021 at 12am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 0
Torque

Zunino (45+2'), Almeida (47')
Almeida (9'), Fernandez (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Allende (17'), Pizzichillo (39'), Brun (45'), Catarozzi (59')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo City Torque.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawMontevideo City Torque
43.22%24.83%31.95%
Both teams to score 57.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14%45.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83%68.17%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74%21.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82%54.18%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68%27.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23%62.77%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 43.22%
    Montevideo City Torque 31.95%
    Draw 24.82%
NacionalDrawMontevideo City Torque
2-1 @ 9.03%
1-0 @ 8.99%
2-0 @ 6.96%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 43.22%
1-1 @ 11.66%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.82%
1-2 @ 7.57%
0-1 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.95%

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