Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
