Progreso
3 - 3
Defensor

Silva (7', 87'), Fernandez (29')
Loffreda (35'), Laens (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mallo (13'), Coelho (49', 82')
(8'), Rocha (27')
Rocha (60')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Defensor Sporting.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (11.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Defensor Sporting
34.56%	29.07%	36.38%

Both teams to score 44.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.93%

62.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.21%

81.79%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.23%

33.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.57%

70.43%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.43%

32.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.89%

69.11%

Score Analysis

Progreso 34.56%

Defensor Sporting 36.37%

Draw 29.05%

Progreso	Draw	Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.56%	1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.05%	0-1 @ 12.33% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 6.92% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.37%