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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 4, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Casto Martínez Laguarda
D

Torque
0 - 0
Defensor


Alvarez (67'), Catarozzi (89'), Pena (90+3')
FT

Rodriguez (50'), Boggio (86'), Mallo (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Defensor Sporting.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo City TorqueDrawDefensor Sporting
40.12%27.45%32.43%
Both teams to score 48.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.42%56.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.44%77.56%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39%27.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86%63.14%
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63%32.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11%68.88%
Score Analysis
    Montevideo City Torque 40.12%
    Defensor Sporting 32.43%
    Draw 27.45%
Montevideo City TorqueDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 11.5%
2-1 @ 8.35%
2-0 @ 7.4%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.12%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-2 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.43%

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