Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.