Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Nacional | 24 | 32 | 50 |
2 | Liverpool | 23 | 17 | 46 |
3 | Boston River | 23 | 7 | 41 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | River Plate | 23 | 7 | 33 |
8 | Defensor Sporting | 22 | 0 | 33 |
9 | Danubio | 23 | 1 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
36.42% ( 0.62) | 27.76% ( -0.37) | 35.83% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 48.54% ( 1.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.67% ( 1.38) | 57.34% ( -1.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.84% ( 1.09) | 78.17% ( -1.08) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.85% ( 1.08) | 30.15% ( -1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.71% ( 1.27) | 66.3% ( -1.27) |
Defensor Sporting Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% ( 0.54) | 30.52% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.27% ( 0.63) | 66.73% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.42% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.83% |
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