Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
