Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
