SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Danubio |
29.91% ( -0.6) | 27.18% ( -0.03) | 42.9% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 48.81% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.67% ( -0.11) | 56.33% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.64% ( -0.09) | 77.35% ( 0.09) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( -0.51) | 34.05% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.27% ( -0.55) | 70.73% ( 0.55) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( 0.28) | 25.99% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.98% ( 0.38) | 61.02% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| La Luz | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.31% Total : 29.91% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.9% |
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