SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | River Plate |
46.9% ( -0.08) | 28.89% ( -0) | 24.21% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 40.69% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.25% ( 0.06) | 64.75% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.28% ( 0.04) | 83.71% ( -0.04) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( -0.02) | 27.88% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.52% ( -0.02) | 63.48% ( 0.02) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.41% ( 0.12) | 43.59% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.22% ( 0.1) | 79.78% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 15.52% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.59% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.88% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.2% |
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