Boston River
1 - 2
Penarol

Bentancourt (65')
Bentancourt (73'), Alvarez (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Estoyanoff (50'), A (56')
Abascal (26'), Gonzalez (49'), A (58'), Kagelmacher (58')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Boston River	Draw	Penarol
20.33%	25.59%	54.08%

Both teams to score 44.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.74%

57.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.9%

78.1%

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.8%

43.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.54%

79.46%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77%

21.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.87%

54.13%

Score Analysis

Boston River 20.33%

Penarol 54.08%

Draw 25.59%

Boston River	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 7.7% 2-1 @ 5.01% 2-0 @ 3.23% 3-1 @ 1.4% 3-2 @ 1.09% 3-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1% Total : 20.33%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 9.17% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 14.21% 0-2 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 9.24% 0-3 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 4.78% 0-4 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.08%