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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 50.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | La Luz |
50.11% ( -0.27) | 27.14% ( 0.31) | 22.75% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.6% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.69% ( -1.06) | 60.31% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.53% ( -0.81) | 80.48% ( 0.8) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( -0.58) | 24.27% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.38% ( -0.83) | 58.63% ( 0.83) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.56% ( -0.65) | 42.44% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.19% ( -0.56) | 78.81% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 14.58% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.3% Total : 50.1% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.09% Total : 22.75% |
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