SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Liverpool |
39.04% ( -0.72) | 28.93% ( 0.28) | 32.03% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 44.63% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.08% ( -0.85) | 61.92% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.32% ( -0.63) | 81.68% ( 0.64) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( -0.85) | 30.84% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( -1.01) | 67.11% ( 1.02) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.53% ( -0.13) | 35.46% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.77% ( -0.14) | 72.23% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.03% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.92% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.07% Total : 32.02% |
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