SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 42.27%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 26.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.27%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Cerro Largo |
42.27% ( 0.05) | 30.89% ( -0.03) | 26.84% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 37.89% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.88% ( 0.06) | 69.12% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.33% ( 0.04) | 86.67% ( -0.04) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% ( 0.06) | 32.65% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% ( 0.07) | 69.19% ( -0.07) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.26% ( 0.01) | 43.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.09% ( 0.01) | 79.91% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 15.98% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 42.27% | 0-0 @ 14.27% ( -0.04) 1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 30.87% | 0-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 26.83% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
