SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 27.95% | 27.14% | 44.91% |
| Both teams to score 47.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.99% | 57.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.1% | 77.9% |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% | 35.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.29% | 72.71% |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% | 25.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.95% | 60.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 6.54% 2-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 1.96% Total : 27.95% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 12.49% 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 8.59% 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.28% Total : 44.91% |
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