SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (11.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
36.37% ( 0.21) | 29% ( 0.12) | 34.63% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 44.84% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.15% ( -0.43) | 61.85% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.37% ( -0.32) | 81.63% ( 0.32) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% ( -0.08) | 32.46% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.02% ( -0.09) | 68.98% ( 0.1) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( -0.45) | 33.61% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.75% ( -0.49) | 70.25% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.37% | 1-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.99% | 0-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.62% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
