SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensor Sporting in this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Fenix |
52.77% ( 0) | 25.31% ( 0.06) | 21.92% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.33% ( -0.3) | 54.66% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24% ( -0.25) | 75.99% ( 0.24) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( -0.12) | 20.73% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.65% ( -0.19) | 53.35% ( 0.18) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.96% ( -0.24) | 40.04% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.31% ( -0.22) | 76.69% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.38% Total : 52.76% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.92% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
