SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw has a probability of 28.9% and a win for Defensor Sporting has a probability of 26.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it is 0-1 (10.46%).
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
44.2% ( -0.08) | 28.85% ( -0.01) | 26.95% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 42.7% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.76% ( 0.05) | 63.24% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.36% ( 0.04) | 82.64% ( -0.04) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% ( -0.02) | 28.56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.64% ( -0.02) | 64.35% ( 0.02) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.78% ( 0.1) | 40.22% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.15% ( 0.09) | 76.85% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 14.39% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 44.2% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.35% Total : 26.95% |
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