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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Nov 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
3 - 0
Progreso

Cadenazzi (7'), Spinelli (49'), Mansilla (83')
Montoya (6'), De Los Santos (45'), Alvarez (56'), Cadenazzi (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lemmo (35'), Castillo (73'), Gomez (84'), Joaquin Martin Colman (86')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Progreso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensor 1-0 Fenix
Sunday, November 10 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 0-0 Wanderers
Sunday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawProgreso
56.26% (0.252 0.25) 24.77% (0.14 0.14) 18.97% (-0.393 -0.39)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-0.974 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.11% (-0.97000000000001 -0.97)55.89% (0.971 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (-0.796 -0.8)77% (0.795 0.8)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (-0.277 -0.28)19.81% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (-0.451 -0.45)51.89% (0.451 0.45)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.07% (-1.019 -1.02)43.93% (1.018 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.93% (-0.848 -0.85)80.07% (0.84699999999999 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 56.25%
    Progreso 18.97%
    Draw 24.77%
Defensor SportingDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 14.09% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 11.4% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 56.25%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.321 0.32)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 18.97%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Defensor 1-0 Fenix
Sunday, November 10 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-1 Defensor
Monday, November 4 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 2-1 Liverpool
Monday, October 21 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Defensor
Thursday, October 17 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-2 Boston River
Saturday, October 12 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Defensor
Saturday, October 5 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 0-0 Wanderers
Sunday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Progreso
Sunday, November 3 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 2-0 River Plate
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-0 Progreso
Wednesday, October 16 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 0-0 Danubio
Saturday, October 12 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 2-2 Progreso
Sunday, October 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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