Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 35.55%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (12.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerro Largo |
34.82% ( 0) | 29.64% ( -0.01) | 35.55% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.11% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.05% ( 0.03) | 63.95% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.85% ( 0.02) | 83.15% ( -0.02) |
Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.41% ( 0.01) | 34.59% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.69% ( 0.01) | 71.31% ( -0.01) |
Cerro Largo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.9% ( 0.02) | 34.1% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.21% ( 0.02) | 70.79% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerro Largo |
1-0 @ 12.52% 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 34.82% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.63% | 0-1 @ 12.69% 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.55% |
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