SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 35.59%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (12.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
35.59% ( 0.37) | 29.58% ( -0.13) | 34.83% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 43.25% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.23% ( 0.41) | 63.77% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.98% ( 0.29) | 83.02% ( -0.29) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.03% ( 0.47) | 33.97% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.35% ( 0.5) | 70.65% ( -0.5) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.51% ( 0.05) | 34.49% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.8% ( 0.05) | 71.2% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.58% | 1-1 @ 13.46% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.83% |
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