SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Plaza Colonia | 23 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 23 | -17 | 21 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 24 | -20 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Defensor Sporting | 23 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | Montevideo Wanderers | 23 | 8 | 35 |
| 8 | Fenix | 23 | -1 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.46%) and 1-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (12.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
32.26% ( -0.06) | 29.99% ( 0.01) | 37.76% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.93% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.76% ( -0.04) | 65.24% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.94% ( -0.03) | 84.06% ( 0.03) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.89% ( -0.06) | 37.11% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.11% ( -0.06) | 73.9% ( 0.06) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( 0.01) | 33.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.04% ( 0.01) | 69.96% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12.26% 2-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 32.25% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.98% | 0-1 @ 13.58% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.75% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
