SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | La Luz |
43.61% ( -0.12) | 27.68% ( 0.04) | 28.7% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.77% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.37% ( -0.13) | 58.62% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.82% ( -0.1) | 79.18% ( 0.1) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( -0.12) | 26.68% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( -0.16) | 61.93% ( 0.16) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.79% ( -0.01) | 36.21% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27% ( -0.01) | 72.99% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 28.7% |
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