SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | La Luz |
50.42% ( -0.02) | 26.2% ( 0.01) | 23.38% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 46.71% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.4% ( -0.04) | 56.6% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.42% ( -0.03) | 77.58% ( 0.04) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( -0.02) | 22.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( -0.04) | 56.1% ( 0.04) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.3% ( -0.02) | 39.7% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.62% ( -0.02) | 76.38% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 13.33% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 50.42% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.39% Total : 23.38% |
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