SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | La Luz |
45.16% ( -1.08) | 27.42% ( 0.24) | 27.42% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 46.75% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( -0.4) | 58.27% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( -0.32) | 78.9% ( 0.32) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( -0.71) | 25.73% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.34% ( -0.98) | 60.66% ( 0.98) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.95% ( 0.48) | 37.05% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.16% ( 0.47) | 73.84% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.15% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.78% Total : 27.42% |
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