Nacional
4 - 2
River Plate

Almeida (26'), Brunelli (53' og., 61' og.), Fernandez (62')
Fernandez (23')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Borbas (1'), Montiel (90')
Bonifazi (45'), Boggio (59')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	River Plate
61.79%	22.46%	15.75%

Both teams to score 45.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.09%

51.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.34%

73.65%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.67%

16.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.08%

45.92%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.4%

45.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.59%

81.4%

Score Analysis

Nacional 61.78%

River Plate 15.75%

Draw 22.46%

Nacional	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 13.49% 2-0 @ 12.22% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 7.39% 3-1 @ 5.8% 4-0 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.28% 5-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.03% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.83% Total : 61.78%	1-1 @ 10.59% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.65% Total : 22.46%	0-1 @ 5.85% 1-2 @ 4.16% 0-2 @ 2.3% 1-3 @ 1.09% 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.37% Total : 15.75%