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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
4 - 2
River Plate

Almeida (26'), Brunelli (53' og., 61' og.), Fernandez (62')
Fernandez (23')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Borbas (1'), Montiel (90')
Bonifazi (45'), Boggio (59')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
61.79%22.46%15.75%
Both teams to score 45.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.09%51.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.34%73.65%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67%16.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08%45.92%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.4%45.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.59%81.4%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 61.78%
    River Plate 15.75%
    Draw 22.46%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 13.49%
2-0 @ 12.22%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 5.8%
4-0 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 2.28%
5-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1.03%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 61.78%
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.46%
0-1 @ 5.85%
1-2 @ 4.16%
0-2 @ 2.3%
1-3 @ 1.09%
2-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 15.75%

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