River Plate
2 - 0
Nacional

Arezo (45+1'), Boggio (51')
Diaz (17'), Montiel (34'), Napoli (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mendez (24'), Rodriguez (34'), Trasante (40'), Bergessio (41'), Martinez (46')
Bergessio (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Nacional
35.73%	25.37%	38.9%

Both teams to score 56.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.58%

47.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.36%

69.64%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21%

25.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.26%

60.74%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95%

24.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.67%

58.33%

Score Analysis

River Plate 35.73%

Nacional 38.9%

Draw 25.36%

River Plate	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 8.41% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.42% Total : 35.73%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.07% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.9%