Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.
Result | ||
Progreso | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
39.87% (![]() | 26.01% (![]() | 34.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.52% (![]() | 50.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.59% (![]() | 72.4% (![]() |
Progreso Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.07% (![]() | 24.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.45% (![]() | 59.55% (![]() |
Racing de Montevideo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.78% (![]() | 28.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.08% (![]() | 63.91% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Progreso | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
1-0 @ 9.77% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.59% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 12.36% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.03% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.9% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.12% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: