SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Progreso win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Racing de Montevideo has a probability of 32.85% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win is 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.32%).
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
41.21% ( -4.97) | 25.94% ( 0.71) | 32.85% ( 4.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( -1.24) | 50.43% ( 1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( -1.11) | 72.36% ( 1.11) |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( -2.9) | 24.21% ( 2.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% ( -4.29) | 58.55% ( 4.29) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71% ( 2.32) | 28.99% ( -2.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% ( 2.78) | 64.89% ( -2.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Progreso | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.52)2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.91)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.64)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.77)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.38)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.4)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.94) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.68)0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.88)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.46)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.48)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.85% |
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