SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Progreso win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Progreso |
45.07% ( -0.01) | 26.13% ( 0) | 28.8% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.23% ( -0.01) | 52.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.6% ( -0.01) | 74.4% ( 0) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( -0.01) | 23.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.7% ( -0.01) | 57.3% ( 0.01) |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.98% ( 0) | 33.02% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.39% ( 0) | 69.61% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Progreso |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.07% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.8% |
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