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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 35.11%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (13.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
34.63% ( 0.06) | 30.26% ( 0.03) | 35.11% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 41.45% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.08% ( -0.1) | 65.92% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.47% ( -0.07) | 84.53% ( 0.07) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% ( -0.02) | 35.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.44% ( -0.02) | 72.56% ( 0.02) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.55% ( -0.12) | 35.45% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.79% ( -0.12) | 72.21% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 34.62% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.25% | 0-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 35.1% |
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