SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | La Luz |
39.71% ( 0.51) | 27.51% ( -0.22) | 32.77% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.25% ( 0.76) | 56.75% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.31% ( 0.61) | 77.69% ( -0.61) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% ( 0.65) | 27.92% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.46% ( 0.82) | 63.53% ( -0.83) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% ( 0.19) | 32.22% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.29% ( 0.22) | 68.71% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.71% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.76% |
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