SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 40.49%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 29.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.29%) and 1-2 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a La Luz win it was 1-0 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
29.21% ( 0.41) | 30.3% ( 0.09) | 40.49% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 40.29% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.22% ( -0.14) | 66.78% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.88% ( -0.09) | 85.12% ( 0.09) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.66% ( 0.25) | 40.34% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.04% ( 0.23) | 76.96% ( -0.23) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.53% ( -0.36) | 32.46% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.01% ( -0.41) | 68.99% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| La Luz | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.35% Total : 29.2% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.29% | 0-1 @ 14.73% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.13)1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.48% |
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