SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Penarol |
22.71% ( 0.74) | 25.34% ( 0.58) | 51.95% ( -1.32) |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.99% ( -1.49) | 54% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.56% ( -1.27) | 75.44% ( 1.27) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.11% ( -0.12) | 38.89% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.38% ( -0.11) | 75.61% ( 0.11) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( -1.12) | 20.8% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.54% ( -1.8) | 53.46% ( 1.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.71% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 9.97% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.49% Total : 51.95% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
