SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Cerro Largo |
33.15% ( 0.05) | 29.46% ( 0.03) | 37.39% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 43.46% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.54% ( -0.08) | 63.46% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.2% ( -0.06) | 82.8% ( 0.06) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.52% ( -0.01) | 35.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.75% ( -0.01) | 72.25% ( 0.02) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% ( -0.09) | 32.64% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% ( -0.1) | 69.19% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 33.15% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.45% | 0-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 37.38% |
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