SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
33.63% ( -0.58) | 28.11% ( -0.25) | 38.26% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 47.28% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.2% ( 0.84) | 58.8% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.68% ( 0.65) | 79.32% ( -0.65) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( 0.05) | 32.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.76% ( 0.05) | 69.24% ( -0.04) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% ( 0.92) | 29.75% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.18% ( 1.1) | 65.82% ( -1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.62% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.26% |
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