SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 43.54%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Defensor Sporting in this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
26.53% ( 0.65) | 29.92% ( 0.59) | 43.54% ( -1.25) |
| Both teams to score 39.89% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.4% ( -1.44) | 66.6% ( 1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15% ( -0.99) | 84.99% ( 0.99) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.48% ( -0.26) | 42.52% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.11% ( -0.22) | 78.88% ( 0.22) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( -1.41) | 30.59% ( 1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% ( -1.7) | 66.83% ( 1.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 5.63% 2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.1% Total : 26.53% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 13% ( 0.67)2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.91% | 0-1 @ 15.4% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.23)1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.23% Total : 43.54% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
