SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 35.44%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.07%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (12.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Cerro Largo |
34.35% ( 0.47) | 30.21% ( -0.04) | 35.44% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 41.59% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.25% ( 0.16) | 65.75% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.59% ( 0.11) | 84.41% ( -0.11) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.11% ( 0.42) | 35.89% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.34% ( 0.42) | 72.66% ( -0.42) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.87% ( -0.2) | 35.13% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.12% ( -0.21) | 71.88% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 34.35% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.6% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.19% | 0-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 35.44% |
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