SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 46.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 26.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
46.35% ( -0.1) | 27.09% ( 0.09) | 26.55% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.06% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.42% ( -0.31) | 57.57% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.64% ( -0.25) | 78.35% ( 0.25) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( -0.19) | 24.83% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.58% ( -0.26) | 59.42% ( 0.26) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.6% ( -0.16) | 37.39% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.82% ( -0.16) | 74.17% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 46.35% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.72% Total : 26.55% |
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