SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rentistas | Draw | River Plate |
26.98% ( -0.02) | 26.38% ( -0.01) | 46.63% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.38% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.26% ( 0.04) | 54.74% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.94% ( 0.03) | 76.05% ( -0.03) |
| Rentistas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.5% ( 0.01) | 35.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.74% ( 0.01) | 72.26% ( -0.01) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( 0.03) | 23.45% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( 0.05) | 57.46% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rentistas | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 26.98% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 12.07% 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.75% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 46.63% |
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