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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Feb 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
2 - 0
Plaza Colonia

Rivero (27'), Dos Santos (88')
Rivero (44'), Gargano (51'), Alfonso (79')
Rivero (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Olivera (45'), Redin (55'), Villalba (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-1 River Plate
Saturday, February 4 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 Maldonado
Monday, February 6 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.04%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 29.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawPlaza Colonia
41.04% (-0.643 -0.64) 29.57% (1.312 1.31) 29.38% (-0.67 -0.67)
Both teams to score 42.13% (-3.708 -3.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.42% (-4.458 -4.46)64.58% (4.458 4.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.4% (-3.265 -3.27)83.59% (3.265 3.27)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (-2.572 -2.57)30.99% (2.571 2.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (-3.123 -3.12)67.3% (3.123 3.12)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.05% (-2.985 -2.99)38.95% (2.985 2.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.32% (-2.933 -2.93)75.67% (2.933 2.93)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 41.04%
    Plaza Colonia 29.38%
    Draw 29.57%
River PlateDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 14.14% (1.29 1.29)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.194 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.462 -0.46)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.419 -0.42)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.335 -0.34)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.04%
1-1 @ 13.33% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 12.07% (1.85 1.85)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.547 -0.55)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.57%
0-1 @ 11.38% (0.93 0.93)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.438 -0.44)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.316 -0.32)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.285 -0.29)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 29.38%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-1 River Plate
Saturday, February 4 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Torque
Friday, October 21 at 7.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 River Plate
Sunday, October 16 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Liverpool
Thursday, October 13 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rentistas 0-5 River Plate
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Maldonado
Sunday, October 2 at 3pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 Maldonado
Monday, February 6 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-3 Cerrito
Sunday, October 23 at 4.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 2-1 Plaza Colonia
Monday, October 17 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-2 Torque
Wednesday, October 12 at 4.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, October 9 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-3 Liverpool
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division


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