Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.04%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 29.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
41.04% ( -0.64) | 29.57% ( 1.31) | 29.38% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 42.13% ( -3.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.42% ( -4.46) | 64.58% ( 4.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.4% ( -3.27) | 83.59% ( 3.27) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69% ( -2.57) | 30.99% ( 2.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.7% ( -3.12) | 67.3% ( 3.12) |
Plaza Colonia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.05% ( -2.99) | 38.95% ( 2.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.32% ( -2.93) | 75.67% ( 2.93) |
Score Analysis |
River Plate | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
1-0 @ 14.14% ( 1.29) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.46) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.34) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.04% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 12.07% ( 1.85) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.55) Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.93) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.29) Other @ 1.53% Total : 29.38% |
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