Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
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