SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.29%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Penarol |
19.8% ( -0.05) | 25.82% ( -0.01) | 54.38% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 43.42% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.39% ( 0.01) | 58.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.83% ( 0) | 79.16% ( -0) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.42% ( -0.05) | 44.57% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.41% ( -0.04) | 80.59% ( 0.04) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( 0.03) | 21.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.21% ( 0.05) | 54.79% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)3-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.8% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.65% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 14.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.29% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 54.37% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
