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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Sep 11, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
1 - 0
Cerrito

Arezo (66')
Montiel (18'), Bone (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Cerrito.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 37%. A win for Cerrito had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Cerrito win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
River PlateDrawCerrito
37%26.57%36.42%
Both teams to score 52.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.38%52.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.73%74.26%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49%27.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.99%63%
Cerrito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15%27.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55%63.44%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 37%
    Cerrito 36.42%
    Draw 26.56%
River PlateDrawCerrito
1-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 37%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.66%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 6.26%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.42%

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