River Plate
3 - 1
Cerrito

Vega (31' og.), Ocampo (38'), Galletto (83')
Salaberry (4'), Sosa (19'), Napoli (34'), Pereira (68'), Ramirez (71'), Montiel (84')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gonzalez (20')
Calzada (66'), Vila (68'), Perujo (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Cerrito.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Cerrito had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Cerrito win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Cerrito
37.89%	26.99%	35.13%

Both teams to score 50.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.63%

54.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.25%

75.75%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17%

27.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.58%

63.42%

Cerrito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.51%

29.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.5%

65.5%

Score Analysis

River Plate 37.88%

Cerrito 35.12%

Draw 26.98%

River Plate	Draw	Cerrito
1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.95% Total : 37.88%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 10.02% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.12%